Future Supply Considerations
A report from the Southern Regional Education
Board, September 1998
High School Graduates Have
Increased
It is important to note there has been a steady increase in the size of
high school enrollments in recent years. These students are the candidates
for higher education in the state. Assuming stable participation rates among
existing age cohorts, we can expect the enrollments in higher education
to increase. This portends that the number of individuals who could become
potential educators will also expand. This will happen at a time when enrollments
----assuming no unexpected macroeconomic changes that could influence in
or out migration in the state ---are growing, but at a rate slower that
the previous historical years.
Migration of Educators to Other States is
Low
We know from an earlier SREB study that Oklahoma loses
about 200 bachelor degree graduates, from all majors, a year to Texas public
education (and about 200 experienced teachers as well), and small numbers
to other states. However, the majority of the graduates are captured in
the state.
Many Are Trained
In general, the supply created by the public and private
IHEs in the state produce ample candidates---in number. Observing entry
over a period of 1993 to 1996, only about 40% of those trained with an education
degree entered. The rates are much lower for graduates without education
degrees, but who have taken courses in teacher preparation (on average 90%
do not enter---however areas that have rates at above 30% are mathematics,
music, and foreign languages). The yield increases dramatically once graduates
obtain certification. The yields, in total, are in the range of 85%. That
is to say, for those graduates who take the additional step to actually
obtain a certification, only 15%, overall, do not obtain jobs in Oklahoma
public primary and secondary education.
Table 56: Entry over Time by Institution of Higher Education
|
Institution of Higher Education |
Percent Hired to 1996 |
Percent Hired Who Are Certified |
|---|---|---|
| Bartlesville Wesleyan College | 41% |
90% |
| Cameron University | 28% |
84% |
| East Central University | 51% |
88% |
| Langston University | 36% |
86% |
| Mid-American Bible College | 21% |
100% |
| Northeastern State University | 42% |
86% |
| Northwestern Oklahoma State University | 32% |
83% |
| Oklahoma Baptist University | 34% |
88% |
| Oklahoma Christian University of Science & Arts | 34% |
90% |
| Oklahoma City University | 19% |
63% |
| Oklahoma Panhandle State University | 17% |
79% |
| Oklahoma State University | 36% |
87% |
| Southeastern Oklahoma State University | 44% |
86% |
| Southern Nazarene University | 27% |
88% |
| Southwestern Oklahoma State University | 45% |
84% |
| University of Central Oklahoma | 44% |
85% |
| University of Oklahoma | 30% |
83% |
| University of Science & Arts of Oklahoma | 40% |
84% |
| University of Tulsa | 13% |
83% |
The Number Trained to be Educators Over
the Regions Appears Adequate
The more difficult question is how particular regions
are supplied. The IHEs do supply to the clusters in different ways. Some
IHEs supply to largely urban and suburban type districts, others to largely
rural districts as table 33 showed. If we observe education majors---the
dominant source of supply, there are many that are not hired, as shown in
table 56 above. Again, this seems to indicate that supply, in general, is
not a problem. The number that are certified and hired is of a far greater
percentage.
